The European Union's newly appointed defense commissioner, Andrius Kubilius, has articulated a pressing agenda focused on bolstering military readiness in response to the persistent threat posed by Russia. With intelligence reports suggesting potential Russian military aggression before 2030, Kubilius emphasizes the urgency of developing a comprehensive defense strategy that addresses significant capability gaps within the EU. His forthcoming defense white paper aims to outline essential measures for preparing the bloc against extreme military contingencies, particularly in light of the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The commissioner underscores the necessity of maintaining military support for Ukraine while also preparing for a future where the U.S. may reduce its military presence in Europe due to shifting geopolitical priorities, particularly concerning China.
Kubilius advocates for a paradigm shift in the EU's defense approach, moving from incremental improvements to a more ambitious "Big Bang" strategy that prioritizes increased production, readiness, and financial backing for defense initiatives. He stresses the importance of unity among democracies to counter authoritarian regimes and highlights the interconnectedness of global security challenges, including the implications for South Korea and Taiwan. The commissioner calls for a collective effort to raise €500 billion for defense over the next decade, while also addressing the need for immediate funding solutions. By aligning with NATO's capability targets and fostering a common defense market, the EU can enhance its military capabilities and send a strong message of resilience to adversaries like Russia, ultimately aiming to create a more secure and strategically autonomous Europe.